NCAA FOOTBALL BET ANALYSIS - NOVEMBER 3, 2018
MICHIGAN STATE vs MARYLAND
Pick: MICHIGAN STATE -3 -110
Even though Michigan State is banged up this is a game I see them winning. They may be without starting QB Brian Lewerke again today. If he is out Rocky Lombardi will get another start. I have confidence in him after impressing in his first career start against Purdue last week. Marylands bread and butter is their run game but it will be tough for them to get that going today as the Spartans are only giving up only 77.4 rushing yards per game. Maryland is also going through a lot of distraction with the D.J. Durkin situation happening this week. The Spartans are built well to beat Maryland. Take them to win and cover the points.
SYRACUSE vs WAKE FORREST
Pick: OVER 77.5 POINTS -110
Syracuse will go on the road to take on Wake Forest in a game that will see two high powered offenses against really weak defenses. Syracuse is coming off a monster offensive performance where they put up 51 points against a good NC State defense and they get to take on a Wake Forrest defense today that gives up more than 500 yards a game on defense. Wake Forrest is also coming off a monster offensive performance putting up 56 points on Louisville in a 56-36 win. Although this is a high number this total is still too low. This is going to be an offensive shootout.
SAN JOSE STATE vs WYOMING
Pick: SAN JOSE STATE +14.5 -110
Wyoming will host San Jose State in this MWC matchup. Wyoming has done nothing this season to indicate they deserve to be favoured by more than two touchdowns in this game. They are just 3-6 this season and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their offense has struggled all year only scoring more than 20 points twice this year. After being blown out by Army a few weeks ago San Jose State has bounced back with 2 very impressive performances only losing by 3 as 25.5 point underdogs against San Diego State and then scoring 50 points to beat UNLV. When Josh Love has played for the Spartans they have looked good this season and I think they have a chance to win with him under center today.
FIU vs FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Pick: FIU -2 -110
FIU will host Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic in this one. This is another game today where the line seems off. FIU are the better team as they sit at 6-2 while their opponents FAU are just 3-5. The Golden Panthers are also playing at home here. FAU have lost 4 of their last 5 games and have not won in 4 attempts on the road this season while FIU have won 4 in a row and are 4-1 playing in front of their home crowd this year. The difference in quality of these teams are brought out by their point differential this season. FAU is scoring 28.5 points per game while allowing 35.5 which is good for a -7 point differential. On the other hand FIU is scoring 36.1 points per game while allowing 22.1 good for a 14 point differential. Also, FAU has turned the ball over twice as much as FIU which could play a factor today. Don’t over think this. Take the better team.
LSU vs ALABAMA
Pick: LSU +14.5 -110
This is the game everyone has been waiting for as the third ranked LSU Tigers host the number one ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. I think this game will be much closer than the line suggests. Tiger Stadium is a very hard place to win a football game on the road let alone by more than two touchdowns. LSU are 5-0 playing at Tiger Stadium this season and are coming off of two very impressive home wins over Georgia (36-16) and Mississippi St (19-3). Alabama is 8-0 this season and have been dominant but this is by far their toughest test this season and a win won’t come all that easy. I think this one stays close throughout.