REDS vs BREWERS FREE MLB BET: August 22, 2018
Pick: REDS +2.5 -140
REDS vs BREWERS BET ANALYSIS
The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers face off in the rubber match of this 3 game series at Miller Park today. The pitching matchup here sees Robert Stephenson take on Fredy Peralta. Peralta is a wild card. His numbers overall are okay. He is 5-4 with a 4.48 ERA but over his last 5 starts he has allowed over 7 runs twice. He has the task today of facing of facing a red-hot Reds team that has won 4 of their last 5 games and has scored 31 runs over that stretch. If the Reds can keep up what they’ve been able to do offensively in today’s game it could be a long one for Peralta. Robert Stephenson has not looked good in his first 2 appearances this year. His main problem has been walks. He has walked 9 batters in 5.2 innings this year which is good for a whopping 1.73 walks per inning. I believe that number will come down today as he only walked 0.63 batters per inning in a much larger sample size. If Stephenson keeps his walks down today he definitely has the stuff to shut down the Brewers who have lost 4 of their last 6 games. He only gave up 81 hits over 84.2 innings while striking out 86 last year.
The line is way off in this one. The Brewers are -265 favourites in a game where I see it being more of a coin flip. Getting the +2.5 run line at this price is a gift. Back the Reds to continue their momentum and for Stephenson to have a much better outing today. They should be able to keep it close.
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